Tuesday, November 5, 2013

New Pre-Crime Computer Model Deployed in California

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Kevin Samson
Activist Post

The pace of technological advancement is quickening to the point where the gap between science fiction and reality is being greatly reduced. Philip K. Dick explored the concept of pre-crime in his short story "The Minority Report" in 1956, but it wasn't until Steven Spielberg offered it on the big screen as Minority Report in 2002 that the audience got a true look at a potential day-to-day existence under corporate and government data management and control.

Our Orwellian world is beginning to look nostalgic compared to what is in production. Neuroscientists in 2010 stated that they know you better than you know yourself. Meanwhile, it is being estimated that computers know to a 93% accuracy where you will be, before you make your first move.

It is based on this last factoid that a sociologist at University of California, Riverside has been working with the Indio Police Department to offer a computer dragnet that can predict where burglaries are going to happen in the future.

A reduction in crime is of course a welcome event, especially as America outdoes even itself in nearly all areas of violence. However, even though computers have been touted as somehow superior to their human counterparts, when it comes to surveillance and policing we have seen little but horrendous abuse.

Robert Nash Parker is a professor of sociology who has been working with Indio police (city pop. 75,000) to implement a "computer model that predicts, by census block group, where burglaries are likely to occur."

The police department is claiming early positive results since implementing the program during the first part of 2013, and they insist that it is here to stay, while implying that further computer models will be forthcoming:
The result is an 8 percent decline in thefts in the first nine months of 2013. 
"This is the wave of the future," he said. "It is my hope this relationship with Dr. Parker will continue throughout my tenure with this department, not only on this project, but with others as well." 
Parker began working with the Indio Police Department in 2010 to determine if a computer model could predict by census block group — the smallest geographic unit the Census Bureau uses — where burglaries were most likely to occur. 
"Thefts overall had been rising, and I was concerned that we were on a course to exceed last year," Twiss said. 
Using crime data and truancy records — truants account for a significant number of daytime burglaries — Parker discovered patterns of crime over time and space. Most computer models account for changes over time or a variety of places, but not both. 
"This is still cutting-edge and experimental," Parker explained. "Big data gives you statistical power to make these kinds of predictions. It makes it possible for us to anticipate crime patterns, especially hot spots of crime, which allows law enforcement agencies to engage in targeted prevention activities that could disrupt the cause of crime before the crime happens." (emphasis added)
The mention of Big Data should sound a big alarm. Big Data should more properly be called Big Databases. As we have seen, government agencies are collecting an unprecedented amount of personal data across the spectrum. The NSA's staggering volume of collection will only increase with the full roll out of its $2 billion Bluffdale, Utah data center -- and what it currently has on all of us continues to be revealed through Edward Snowden and other whistleblowers. It's near total information awareness.

We also have learned recently of a de facto pre-crime program intended for use by the TSA, as they access databases to do full background checks on travelers beginning from the moment they purchase a ticket. Information will reportedly include tax history, car registration, employment history and more. (Source)

This merger between collection of data and application based on data analysis is at the heart of the Big Data program, which is why these seemingly small-scale stories like the Indio Police Department need to be highlighted. It's all part and parcel of a very large overall agenda.

This data collection initiative is one taking place across the board in our largest federal agencies and departments such as the National Institutes of Health, Department of Defense, National Science Foundation, the Department of Energy, the U.S. Geological survey, and DARPA. As government data collection ramps up, the Obama administration through the Office of Science and Technology Policy has announced a $200 million investment in taking this information "from data to decisions." (Source)

The Department of Defense is merged with the overall initiative, and goes a step further by investing $250 million annually across military departments in support of "truly autonomous systems that can maneuver and make decisions on their own." DARPA is listed as essentially continuing its research into areas of human-computer interaction.

We are witnessing nothing short of the next stage of evolution for the scientific dictatorship, as it moves from total surveillance and information awareness toward implementing its permanence through autonomous systems that will collectivize all human experience into data sets that can be tracked, analyzed and immediately acted upon to affect social structures, economies, war, science, health and education.

But it all starts with a small, seemingly innocuous local system. We should know by now that it is standard practice to introduce the concept of something as extreme as pre-crime to thwart that which frightens us most: terrorism and violent crime. But then it will trickle down to petty crime, tax and financial "crimes," and eventually anything the State deems to be a potential threat. As near-conclusive evidence of this, the person in charge of the overarching program is John P. Holdren, Obama's science Czar and admitted authoritarian eugenicist.

For those who would like to live in this coming prison system, believing they will be safer: can you name one actual brick-and-mortar prison in America that you would feel comfortable residing in? Don't we naturally dread prison for the simple reason that it is a place of punishment, violence, and zero privacy and freedom? Is that the world we are ready to embrace without resistance?

The coming prison is worse; it has no walls and it can find its prisoners before they even know what they have done wrong.

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Anonymous said...

just look at the win chance ratios in gameing ,they nearly always wrong
why dont they just hire all the ladys with crystal balls it will have a highter sucsses rate ;)

Anonymous said...

When thinking of a crime becomes a crime, its over.

Renard Moreau said...

[ Smiles ] Science fiction has transitioned itself into science fact!

PJ London said...

Actually there is a big difference between identifying High risk areas and identifying people before they commit a crime. We all do it all the time. I do not travel in High risk areas or at High risk times in other ares.
Whilst Minority Report is scary, this is a common sense approach to manpower deployment

stevor said...

So, how is it dealing with trying to figure out what crime o'bama will do next?

Ter ber said...

The ADL is pushing for this. So when they start enforcing the HATE CRIME LAWS: you will be guilty before proven innocent. Goodbye USA. beholdapalehorse.tv

Anonymous said...

PJ London sounds like he is a contractor for the mad scientist nazi tech company selling this tyrant-ware.

Anonymous said...

Police departments have been doing this for years. It's called geographic crime trend analysis. it can be done in an automatrd mode with a computer or even manually with a large city map and self adhesive coding dots. All that is required is up to date data on crime occurence. Residential and business burglaries and business robberies are the best crime candidates. The computer or analyst can then select the locations where the crime concentrations are the greatest and then look for times of occurence, days of week, time between suƧessive occurences, etc., to determine when the next incident(s) will occur. Related data on M.O.s, suspect and suspect vehicle descriptions, arrest and truenct data, etc., can be used to identify possible suspects. In the past, this was all done manually, now it can all be done with computer programs that range in price from relatively reasonable to very expensive.

brad said...

This is some sort of computer magic? Hmmm bad neighborhood with lots of truancy. Opportunity, access, pool of potential perps.
Does the damb 'puter say if the burglar was wearing green or blue? Gang tats or doing drugs?
What hype and BS. Typical manipulation of people to imply that materialistic assessments are valid and more effective than actual people and real thought. i'd bet there are old-time Indio police officers that could have made that prediction, but in the corporate world (mirrored by police depts in a pyramidal dysfunctional pattern) the people in the trenches who actually have more valid insights than mgmt are ignored.
The general concensus from mgmt seems to be that "if they make less money than i do, their opinions are not as valid as mine - regardless of what is known, and what is reality."

Anonymous said...

As with all these NWO CONTROL DEVICES --- It will be ABUSED and used to stop humanity from PROGRESSING! True humanity and caring for others, including nature, will be A CRIME!
As you look closer at where society is going you can CLEARLY SEE the NWO is losing CONTROL -- HENCE the need for using such programs!

Anonymous said...

Pre crime or thought crime model will be used to justify assasination and jailing of anyone who does not agree with govt and its policies without using actual proof and real evidence.

Anonymous said...

Still bad, but not really like PK Dick's pre-crime concept. I mean, this program is not about pre-determining an individual's likelihood to commit a crime in the future, and stopping or punishing him. This system is taking crime data and extrapolating where crime is likely to be concentrated, and beefing up the police presence in those areas. It's actually NOTHING like Dick's pre-crime idea. The fundamentals aren't the same. I'm not nuts about our modern day police, but let's call a spade a spade.

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