Friday, September 7, 2012

Food Inflation, Food Shortages And Food Riots Are Coming

Dees Illustration
Michael Snyder, Contributor
Activist Post

A devastating global food crisis unlike anything we have ever seen in modern times is coming. Crippling drought and bizarre weather patterns have damaged food production all over the world this summer, and the UN and the World Bank have both issued ominous warnings about the food inflation that is coming.

To those of us in the Western world, a rise in the price of food can be a major inconvenience, but in the developing world it can mean the difference between life and death. Just remember what happened back in 2008. When food prices hit record highs it led to food riots in 28 different countries. Today, there are approximately 2 billion people that are malnourished around the globe. Even rumors of food shortages are enough to spark mass chaos in many areas of the planet. When people fear that they are not going to be able to feed their families they tend to get very desperate. That is why a recent CNN article declared that "2013 will be a year of serious global crisis". 

The truth is that we are not just facing rumors of a global food crisis - one is actually starting to unfold right in front of our eyes. The United States experienced the worst drought in more than 50 years this summer, and some experts are already declaring that the weather has been so dry for so long that tremendous damage has already been done to next year's crops. On the other side of the world, Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan have all seen their wheat crops devastated by the horrible drought this summer. Australia has also been dealing with drought, and in India monsoon rains were about 15 percent behind pace in mid-August. Global food production is going to be much less than expected this year, and global food demand continues to steadily rise. What that means is that food inflation, food shortages and food riots are coming, and it isn't going to be pretty.

The United States exports more food than anyone else in the world, and that is why the entire globe has been nervously watching the horrific drought in the United States this summer with deep concern.

It has been the worst drought in more than 50 years, and it has absolutely devastated corn crops all over the nation. According to Bill Witherell, the U.S. corn crop this year "is said to be on a par with that of 1988 crop, the worst in the past thirty years."


Sadly, this will be the third year in a row that the yield for corn has declined in the United States.

That has never happened before in the history of the United States.

And coming into this year we were already in bad shape. In fact, U.S. corn reserves were sitting at a 15-year low at the end of 2011.

So where will we be at the end of 2012?

The official estimates for corn yields put out by the U.S. government just keep dropping, but many fear that they aren't dropping quickly enough. There have been some reports on the ground from some areas of the country that have been very distressing. The following is from a recent Wall Street Journal article....
Meanwhile, scouts with the Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour on Monday reported an average estimated corn yield in Ohio of 110.5 bushels per acre, down from the tour's estimate of 156.3 bushels a year ago. In South Dakota, tour scouts reported an average yield estimate of just 74.3 bushels per acre, down from 141.1 bushels a year ago.
Those are catastrophic numbers.

But farmers are not the only ones that have been impacted by the dry weather. A recent article by Chris Martenson summarized some of the other effects of this drought.....
Even though the mainstream media seems to have lost some interest in the drought, we should keep it front and center in our minds, as it has already led to sharply higher grain prices, increased gasoline costs (via the pass-through of higher ethanol costs), impeded oil and gas drilling activity in some areas (due to a lack of water), caused the shutdown of a few operating electricity plants, temporarily reduced red meat prices (but will also make them climb sharply later) as cattle are dumped in response to feed- and pasture-management concerns, and blocked and/or reduced shipping on the Mississippi River. All this and there's also a strong chance that today's drought will negatively impact next year's Winter wheat harvest, unless a lot of rain starts falling soon.
Ranchers have had a particularly hard time during this drought. If you expect to pay about the same for meat this time next year as you are doing now you are going to be deeply disappointed. The following is from a recent Reuters article....
The worst drought to hit U.S. cropland in more than half a century could soon leave Americans reaching deeper into their pockets to fund a luxury that people in few other countries enjoy: affordable meat. 
Drought-decimated fields have pushed grain prices sky high, and the rising feed costs have prompted some livestock producers to liquidate their herds. This is expected to shrink the long-term U.S. supply of meat and force up prices at the meat counter.
All over the western United States pastures have been destroyed and there is not enough hay. It would be hard to overstate the damage that this nightmarish drought is doing to our ranchers....
I spoke with Caldwell [of Indiana horse rescue] and a number of other horse-rescue organizations around the country by telephone this week. The relentlessly hot dry weather, amplified in many areas by wildfire, has been devastating to farmers, ranchers and other horse owners. 
'Everybody is using their winter hay now. The pastures are destroyed and they probably won’t recover before winter,' said Caldwell. 'The price of hay has doubled, and the availability is down by 75 percent.' 
Caldwell is somewhat sanguine about his own lot, but not optimistic about what lies ahead. 
'Today the problem is not nearly as bad as it’s going to be,' he told me. 'It’s terribly bad today, but it is going to get a lot worse.'
But of course as I mentioned earlier this is not just an American problem.

The truth is that the entire globe is facing a rapidly growing food crisis.

According to the UN, the global price of food rose 6 percent in the month of July alone.

According to the World Bank, global food prices actually rose 10 percent during July.

Either figure is really, really bad.

The other day, the UN Food and Agriculture Organization, the International Fund for Agricultural Development and the World Food Program issued a joint statement in which they stated the following....
'We need to act urgently to make sure that these price shocks do not turn into a catastrophe hurting tens of millions over the coming months.'
If the price of food at our supermarkets suddenly went up 20 percent that would really stretch our family budgets here in the United States, but we would survive.

On the other side of the globe, such a price change can mean the difference between life and death. The following is from the CNN article mentioned above....
But step outside the developed world, and the price of food suddenly becomes the single most important fact of human economic life. In poor countries, people typically spend half their incomes on food -- and by 'food,' they mean first and foremost bread. 
When grain prices spiked in 2007-2008, bread riots shook 30 countries across the developing world, from Haiti to Bangladesh, according to the Financial Times. A drought in Russia in 2010 forced suspension of Russian grain exports that year and set in motion the so-called Arab spring.
Already, 18 million people in Niger, Mali, Chad, Mauritania and Senegal are dealing with very serious food shortages.

In Yemen, things are even worse....
Yemen has a catastrophic food crisis. Nearly half the population, 10 million people, does not have enough to eat. While 300,000 children are facing life threatening levels of malnutrition. 
The United Nations says Yemen is already in the throes of a disaster. 
'The levels are truly terrible. Whatever we do thousands upon thousands of children will die this year from malnutrition,' Unicef's man in Yemen, Geert Cappelaere, said. 
'In some areas child malnutrition is at 30%, to put it in context, an emergency is 15%. It is double that already.'
But this is just the beginning. These food shortages are going to spread and we will eventually see food riots that will absolutely dwarf the food riots of 2008.

Many scientists fear the worst. Some are even now warning that food shortages will become so severe that they will eventually force much of the globe on to a vegetarian diet....
Leading water scientists have issued one of the sternest warnings yet about global food supplies, saying that the world's population may have to switch almost completely to a vegetarian diet over the next 40 years to avoid catastrophic shortages. 
Humans derive about 20% of their protein from animal-based products now, but this may need to drop to just 5% to feed the extra 2 billion people expected to be alive by 2050, according to research by some of the world's leading water scientists. 
'There will not be enough water available on current croplands to produce food for the expected 9 billion population in 2050 if we follow current trends and changes towards diets common in western nations,' the report by Malik Falkenmark and colleagues at the Stockholm International Water Institute (SIWI) said.
The days of very cheap meat are coming to an end. Meat will be increasingly viewed as a "luxury" around the globe from now on.

Sadly, there are some in the financial world that actually intend to make lots of money off of this crisis....
The United Nations, aid agencies and the British Government have lined up to attack the world's largest commodities trading company, Glencore, after it described the current global food crisis and soaring world prices as a 'good' business opportunity. 
With the US experiencing a rerun of the drought 'Dust Bowl' days of the 1930s and Russia suffering a similar food crisis that could see Vladimir Putin's government banning grain exports, the senior economist of the UN's Food and Agriculture Organisation, Concepcion Calpe, told The Independent: 'Private companies like Glencore are playing a game that will make them enormous profits.'
Does that disturb you?

It should.

www.OffgridOutpost.comDriving up the price of food for starving people is not a good way to make money. Food is one of our most basic needs. When people are deprived of food they become very desperate.

Just look at what is already happening in Spain. The economic crisis in that country has just begun, and people are already looting supermarkets. You can see a video news report about Spanish activists looting 3 tons of food from local supermarkets right here.

Much of that food was donated to food banks, but in the future I am sure that the desperate "activists" will not be so generous when things get really tight.

In other areas of Spain, large numbers of people have been filmed digging through trash dumpsters for food.

Could you ever see yourself doing that? Don't be so sure that hunger will never come to America. Right now, a record 46.7 million Americans are on food stamps, and anti-hunger organizations all around the country are reporting more of a need than ever before.

For now the federal government is able to feed the tens of millions of Americans that do not have enough money for food, but what happens when a day comes when the federal government stops doing that?

And what happens if the drought in the United States continues throughout the winter and into next summer and Dust Bowl conditions return to the United States?

In a previous article entitled "17 Signs That You Better Start Preparing For A Nightmarish Global Food Crisis", I detailed some more of the reasons why people need to start preparing for food inflation and food shortages.

In the past we could always go out to the supermarket or to Wal-Mart and fill up our shopping carts with huge piles of very cheap food whenever we wanted to.

It will not always be that way.

Get prepared while you still can.

Meanwhile, many Americans continue to enjoy life as if nothing will ever change. For example, the "Rich Kids of Instagram" have been very busy showing off their wealth all summer long. You can see some of the ridiculous ways that they are blowing their wealth right here.

Sadly, they are just a product of our degenerating society. We have piled up wealth in these troubled times while the rest of the world has suffered.

But even our great wealth was not enough for us so we went out and borrowed trillions upon trillions of dollars. We have accumulated the greatest mountain of debt in the history of the world, but we are still not satisfied.

In the end, we will weep and howl in misery as everything that we have built falls apart around us.

RELATED ACTIVIST POST ARTICLES:
5 Simple Ways to Prepare for the Coming Food Crisis
Bulk Food Storage is the Answer to the Coming Food Crisis

This article first appeared here at The Truth. Michael Snyder is a writer, speaker and activist who writes and edits his own blogs The American Dream and Economic Collapse Blog. Follow him on Twitter here.


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23 comments:

Anonymous said...

Yes sir, and our gubment (those brainy fellows on the hill) are dragging their feet, alongside their hands, on several important farm issues which are in front of them right now.

Not only that, the helpful food police raid places like Rawsome foods and throw away almost $90,000 worth of fresh, wholesome, sustainably grown foods and raw milk and cheeses, etc., because of some stupid laws which desperately need to be changed - and soon. Real bright bunch of boys we've got "helping" us. People are starving right around the corner from where the California police seized and destroyed all that food. Yep, intelligence reigns in amerika.

Anonymous said...

About 10 years ago, I read a rather negative piece in a major magazine about how bad things were in Russia because so many people were having to grow their own food on dachas; 500 sq. m. lots given to people by the government. However, the result is that today, so many people in Russia have the knowledge, skill and ability to feed themselves. I live in the south of Russia and marvel at what these people can get from the land.

The people who would be in trouble with a global food shortage are the yuppies in the big cities, like Moscow, who are dependent on others to feed them. Not so for the simple folks in the villages, who probably wouldn't even be aware a food shortage was going on.

I'm working hard to become one of the simple folk and thank goodness, my neighbors are good people willing to share their knowledge with the "dude" next door.

Anonymous said...

This is all planned. It's global depopulation posing as "supply side economics." Go ahead, blame it on God.

The fact is, food productivity is at an all time high.

When it gets bad enough here, you will turn to your god, who will promise you deliverance. But at that point it will be too late, because God is going to get involved to demonstrate that He, not his enemies, however "scientific" are in control of both nature and human knowledge.

Anonymous said...

Please. Even with below-normal harvests, this country still produces enough corn to feed everybody here. And if they stop this idiotic bullshit of turning corn into ethanol, which is a negative energy output, your problem is solved.

I'm sick and fucking tired of people constantly talking this crap, and never showing anybody any evidence to back up their claims, which are only made as an excuse to rip people off.

Anonymous said...

Who among is not planting fruit trees? Vegetable gardens? You must blame yourself for being hungry.

Anonymous said...

Like I keep on saying......

"Get ready today for the way that you want to live tomorrow"...........

Many, many, many, people will be living like the cave man.......better buy more bullets.

This is Ponce

Anonymous said...

To the anonymous poster who mentioned a surplus of corn . . . boo. Corn NEEDS to be in short supply because it's a complete disaster for man and beast.

Farmers insist on feeding it to cattle, who are in no way equipped to digest the junk. Man makes things like high fructose corn syrup and myriad other horrid things out of corn, which people don't need to survive either. So yeah, I'm glad there's going to be a shortage of corn. It serves the farmers right, too, because cropping corn every year is bad for the land, as are all tillage crops. No-till crops are the answer to the future. Go to youtube and watch the video called 12 Aprils; learn the proper way man should be treating beast, and without being dependent on BigPhakePhoods, we can all survive nicely, with a garden, some fruit trees and some properly fed animals. So long, that is, as the gubment doesn't keep trying to stop us from planting gardens. And I agree with the poster who mentioned Russia - that's exactly what needs to happen here in Amerika. Don't plant anything that doesn't produce something. Fruit trees, olive trees, walnut trees, etc. Beautiful and functional and provisional - what more could a person ask for? We are getting ready to equip our greenhouse with the proper heating equipment so that we can garden year 'round, even up here in the hinterlands!

Anonymous said...

To all of those people that do know how to grow their own food, please teach or show other people around you (especially younger people) how to do the same. The world needs better, sustainable knowledge about food production.

Anonymous said...

It would be enlightening to know who and by what financial vehicle certain groups profited from these droughts. Follow the money folks...

NFairy said...

You know, it's nice to be prepared and realistic, but I've been scared these food-shortage-coming SOON-get-ready-for-riots articles for a couple of yrs now.

WOuld be nice to get some balance and admit that food shortage is already here, that many are struggling but people aren't really rioting...just quietly suffering. Hopefully, riots won't be necessary as maybe people will wise up.

Anonymous said...

This will absolutely happen, as the number of people on Food Stamps continues to climb, while the amount of FRN's (Federal Reserve Notes) doled out to each recipient continues to decline! I know one person on Food Stamps, whose benefit has been reduced to $16 per month! ($16 is about enough for maybe a few days, at best)

Justin_n_IL said...

Anon 7:56

Makes me think of Lenin stealing all the grain and the farming tools from the country dwellers during the Bolshevik Revolution. Independence is the enemy of a centrally planned dictatorship.

Anonymous said...

People have very short memories! Think back to the early 1960's when millions of tons of wheat were left in the fields of America to rot just to get prices up; And the millions of gallons of fresh milk poured down drains for the same reason; How about the hundred's of thousands of hogs bull dozed into mass graves and buried alive in trenches to get the price of pork up? The banks and huge corporate farms ended up taking the small farms anyway,just as planned. I stated then that this inhumane greed would come back to haunt America one day, I was right, now we will pay the piper. America runs on greed! We all pay.

apeman2502 said...

Watch dutchsinse.com regularly until you see clearly the patterns of the Chem-trail>HAARP circle> radical weather event sequences. The entity responsible for much of this inclement weather has well prepared themselves for the upcoming bad times. Culling the herd. I do not see any mention of this activity above in the text of the article or Comments. Pity is the word. Know thine enemy. Know who has been intentionally screwing up the weather and the rest of the planet as of late. No one can help you if you do not help yourselves. And why should they waste their time if you choose ignorance as a survival technique.
As a HAARP example, about a year ago, a 'HAARP circle' caused by the generated circular pattern of incidence of HAARP radio wave broadcast to a focus about 200 miles out to sea from California existed for only a two or three hour maximum. But this was enough to deflect a huge mass of north Pacific moisture laden air to the south instead of allowing this moist maritime rain front to make landfall in California. A much needed rain source was successfully deflected and a drought occurred. I was only aware of this one incidence at that specific location. I have followed and recorded several of these sequences presented by dutchsinse.com. Each of Dutch's predictions were correct. Do not feel bad. This is being done to you by the worst pigs on earth and if you do NOT understand this, you only have yourself to blame. They want it all for themselves.
See dutchsinse.com. Angels Don't Play These Harps, the History Channel's Weather Wars, That's Impossible.

DOGISMYTH said...

more fear mongering IMO. These predictions never serve us well. They are just hype to sway sentiment and thinking in the weak-minded individuals.

Its always a defeatist news headline instead of a report that just states the fact. Just look at this title....its designed to instill fear and hopelessness and anxiety.

Look at how this article ends, "In the end, we will weep and howl in misery as everything that we have built falls apart around us."

oh for gods sake...isn't that a bit over the top? you mean that's the end? life is over??

what a joke these articles are. People are resilient creatures and most know how to fend for themselves. You can grow enough food for yourself in a simple 10'x10'. Ever raise chickens? Its easy. Virtually a free source of protein.

Yeah...your freakin Big Mac or taco might cost three times more. Who cares? Its all garbage anyway.

Get a clue. Stop listening to these articles since they are only written to provoke your sentiment and destroy your ability to think for yourself and stay positive.

THUMBS DOWN!

Anonymous said...

dutchsinse has you believing in fairy tales. There is no factual basis for his prediction nor his interpretations. Although i agree with some of his premises, he is not expert in these matters and I would suggest you solicit answers from those in the meteorology and weather science field. I also suggest you determine the background of individuals like dutchsinse and his motives.

Anonymous said...

to Anon who is planning to heat his greenhouse:

I am in northern Vermont, have a wood heated greenhouse, the problem is that there just is not enough light here in mid-winter. Find that stuff will hold well if it is nearly full grown before the days get so short but new growth is painfully slow.

We were very disappointed after all that work but if you plan well fresh food will be available all winter.

Anonymous said...

bumper crops of wheat and hay canola up here in Canada folks

lovinight said...

Not to mention all the farmers who are paid not to produce!

Anonymous said...

"Get a clue. Stop listening to these articles since they are only written to provoke your sentiment and destroy your ability to think for yourself and stay positive."

Let us know how "positive" tastes when the shelves are empty. My kids will be eating the food that is grown on our property.

Anonymous said...

As for ORGANIC food companies, here is some very practical, ‘actionable’ information:

Which, so-called “organic” food companies are fighting Prop 37 in California, to stop
GMO-labeling, and which organic food companies are funding/supporting GMO-labeling
(ie, your right to know)?
http://www.cornucopia.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/prop37-poster.jpeg

Boycott the Organic and ‘Natural’ Traitor Brands Whose Parent Companies Oppose Your Right to Know (ie, who oppose CA Prop 37)
http://www.organicconsumers.org/articles/article_26121.cfm

Which Mega-Corporations own which “organic” food companies?
https://www.msu.edu/~howardp/organicindustry.html

Download the “NON-GMO Shopping Guide” here:
http://gmo.mercola.com/sites/gmo/shopping-guide.aspx

Unknown said...

1988 and 2012 year of the dragon, also year 2000, beware when it is year of the dragon, very bad times and crisis usually.

Unknown said...

Note 1988 and 2012 year of the dragon, so was year 2000, note year of dragon often is crisis year, it is nasty time. year of the dragon ends Dec 12, 2012, and year of the snake commences Dec 13, 2012, energy should shift then somewhat.

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