ECONOMY

Only Three of 12 Fed Regions Are Growing, Two Slightly
The Fed’s Beige Book shows a weakening economy Please consider the Fed’s Beige Book for July 2025. What is the Beige Book? The Beige Book is a Federal Reserve System publication about current economic conditions across the 12 Federal Reserve Districts. It characterizes regional economic conditions and prospects based on a variety […]

No Escape From Washington’s Fiscal Doomsday Machine
If you don’t think Washington is in the maws of a Fiscal Doomsday Machine, think again. And the place to start is with the 30-year CBO projections—expressed as the dollar increase from the current $29 trillion level of publicly held US Treasury debt. To wit, if Washington does nothing except […]

The Stripper Index
One company has been looking to one of the world’s oldest professions to gauge the state of the economy—sex work. “The ‘stripper index’ is an unconventional economic indicator that correlates changes in sex work revenue, such as escort pricing, strip club tips, and related search interest, with broader economic cycles,” […]

How Should the EU, Mexico, China, and Canada Respond to Trump’s Tariffs?
I have two answers. One idea is radical but it would work. Answer One: Do nothing Tariffs are a tax on consumers. So it Trump want to be raise taxes on US consumers, then let him. And if he wants to make the US an island, them let him. Besides, […]

The Facts Clearly Tell Us That The Middle Class In America Is Dying
Everybody agrees that the rich have been getting even richer in recent years. But what about all the rest of us? Unfortunately, it turns out that flooding the system with money was really good for the wealthy, but it has made things much worse for almost everyone else. Poverty is […]

Doug Casey on Fear, Corruption, and the Coming Collapse of the American System
Matt Smith: All right. Good morning, Doug. Lots happening these days. I’d love to get your take on—I think starting with the Epstein case. Case closed, apparently. What do you think? What’s going on? Doug Casey: Well, where to start on this thing? It’s so ultra disappointing, so embarrassing, and so serious […]

How Passive Investing Is Inflating a Dangerous Bubble
Have you ever heard of Aeva Technologies? The company is headquartered in the heart of Silicon Valley, in Mountain View, California. It specializes in developing LiDAR sensors for self-driving cars and robotics. Aeva uses something called frequency-modulated continuous wave (FMCW) technology. This can measure both distance and velocity simultaneously. It […]

Silver is the New….
Silver is the new silver. Always has been. The chart looks exciting, but anyone looking at the bigger picture should be ecstatic. Silver has a long way to go. If you look at the silver price historically, you can see silver has touched the $50 glass ceiling twice before. So, […]

U.S. Ports Plead with Trump to Delay Tariffs on Chinese Cranes
Proposed tariffs up to 100% on Chinese cranes could significantly raise port upgrade costs. An Appeal for Tariff Delays In a move that will likely fall on deaf ears, U.S. Ports Appeal for Delay to Tariffs on Chinese Cranes The administration is proposing tariffs of up to 100% on Chinese-made cranes […]
BRICS: The Rise of a New Global Order
The 17th BRICS summit was held in Rio de Janeiro on July 6 and 7, and there is a general agreement among attendees and observers that Brazil delivered a summit of exceptional quality. In addition to the Rio BRICS 2025 final declaration, described by analysts as a unified blueprint for […]