Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Food Prices Rising: Reaching Near Emergency Levels, Riots Expected

image source
Lisa Garber
Activist Post

According to a group of researchers, their mathematical model using food prices can predict social unrest and riots. Given the drought and rampant speculation, this may bode ill for several regions in the world. Food prices have been rising for quite some time, and aren’t showing any sign of slowing.

People raise their voices and go to arms for reasons too complicated to address here altogether, but it would be folly to leave hunger out of the equation. The spark may be an anti-Islam film or an incident of police brutality, but Yaneer Bar-Yam of the New England Complex Systems Institute in Cambridge, Massachusetts says that it’s high food prices that create “the range of conditions in which the tiniest spark can lead to riots.”

History of Accurate Predictions

The NECSI has received attention of late for its accurate predictions of food price behavior, most notably those showing spikes in food prices that coincided with the 2007-2008 riots.

They even submitted findings to the U.S. government—four days before Mohamed Bouazizi, a Tunisian produce vendor, set himself on fire and, many say, catalyzed the Arab Spring.

The institute has also drawn fire for not being peer-reviewed. One such critic, economist Dave Lobell, nevertheless concedes that at least the public sees the Institute’s predictions well before the completion of a theoretical peer-review process, and time will tell if the predictions are accurate.


Ready to Riot

The NECSI models show that the stage is set for rioting when the food price index surpasses 210. Unfortunately, the index has been sneaking around that number since July, thanks especially to the summer drought. Wheat is $9 a bushel—a problem especially for the Middle East which imports most of that staple. Also, thanks to ethanol production, corn is $7.56 a bushel.

Peter Timmer, a Harvard professor emeritus recently inducted into NECSI faculty, says that the model is “better than anything my economics colleagues have done to explain food prices. The model really works.”

Time will tell, though it seems history is on the Institute’s side.

Additional Sources:
NPR

Explore More:
Rising Food Prices Continue to Climb, with Prices Up 10% in July Alone
More Rising Food Prices? Grocery Bills to Skyrocket as Drought Crushes Crop Production
Domino’s Pizza Receives $12 Million Government Bailout, Experts Warn of Global Food Riots
Half of US Population Expected to be Obese by 2030
Your Most Expensive Thanksgiving Meal | Food Costs Soar, Highest Jump in 20 Years
Price of Junk Food and Fresh Food | Infographic

This article first appeared at Natural Society, an excellent resource for health news and vaccine information. 


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5 comments:

KenBrodeur said...

When your belly rumbles and you see your children starving you will do anything to feed them. All rules and regulations even threat of death will not deter stop you.

Anonymous said...

Then you better be buying some dry goods like flour, sugar, macoroni, spegetti, salt, pepper, noodles, dried fruit, cooking oil, butter, canned fruit, canned vegies,and have a way to catch and save roof water. There will be no electricity so have some matches and candles. Don't worry about money because it will be worthless.Have a spade to dig a privy hole because you won't have any water for your flusher.

dogismyth said...

yeah everybody....run out and start shopping for your emergency supplies. Lol...that'll surely push us over the top.

More scare tactics to get you TO SPEND YOUR MONEY.

Start a garden and ignore the news...including internet news.

Anonymous said...

"While economic textbooks claim that people and corporations are competing for markets and resources, I claim that in reality they are competing for money - using markets and resources to do so. Greed and fear of scarcity are being continuously created and amplified as a direct result of the kind of money we are using. For example, we can produce more than enough food to feed everybody, and there is definitely enough work for everybody in the world, but there is clearly not enough money to pay for it all. In fact, the job of central banks is to create and maintain that currency scarcity. Money is created when banks lend it into existence. When a bank provides you with a $100,000 mortgage, it creates only the principal, which you spend and which then circulates in the economy. The bank expects you to pay back $200,000 over the next 20 years, but it doesn't create the second $100,000 - the interest. Instead, the bank sends you out into the tough world to battle against everybody else to bring back the second $100,000." - Bernard Lietaer, former Central Banker (Belgium)

Bankster gamblers and weather modification by chemtrail sprayers - kill them all.

L Noah said...

wow, I didn't know it was this bad. people are overcharged for everything. now we're being overcharged for poisoned food and water; what's next.

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